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www.charbelnahas.org - « Exploring Lebanon’s Growth Prospects »

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Document sans nom
Dr. Charbel Nahas - Minister of Labor

 

Economics and economic policies

 

« Exploring Lebanon’s Growth Prospects »

Jean-Claude Berthelemy,Sebastien Dessus & Charbel Nahas
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, number 4332
August 2007

This paper attempts to identify Lebanon ’ s greatest constraints to economic growth, following a growth diagnosis approach. It concludes that fiscal imbalances and barriers to entry are most binding on long-term growth. Macroeconomic imbalances and related perceived risks affect the nature of investment decisions in Lebanon, in favor of liquid instruments rather than longer-term productive investments. Further, many barriers to entry discourage agents from investing in a number of markets: legal impediments to competition, corruption, and a set of fiscal incentives favoring the allocation of resources to non-tradable sectors, where potential demand and investment opportunities are scarcer. In turn, using a steady-state computable general equilibrium model, the paper assesses the long-term growth impact of a selected set of policy reforms envisaged to lift such constraints. Results suggest that 1 to 2 percentage points of additional GDP growth per year could be gained through public expenditure reform, greater domestic competition, and tax harmonization.


PDF - 825.9 kb
32 p. (in english)


published 4 November 2007

 


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updated : December 2009  
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